The High Food Price Challenge – response options to protect the vulnerable and ensure growth

Selected Presentations and Reports by the MSU Food Security Group

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Main Topics Covered:

• Impacts of and responses to rising commodity prices
• Building longer-run food security while managing food crises
  • (see also separate Web page on Emergency Response and Development)
• Fertilizer subsidies
• Contributions of regional food staples market development and trade to improving price stability and food security
• Effects of maize export bans in Zambia
• Cassava value chains and role in food security
• Agricultural growth linkages and the rural nonfarm economy
• Other key determinants of food security and agricultural growth
  • Economic returns to investments in agriculture
  • Soil fertility improvement: conservation farming in Zambia
• Trends in agricultural production, marketing, and prices

Impacts of and responses to rising commodity prices

Conferences

• Conférence Régionale sur la transmission de la hausse des prix alimentaires mondiaux en Afrique de l’Ouest. Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso. 4-6 Avril 2011
• Rapport complet de la Conférence
• Termes de référence
• Programme
• Liste des participants
• Compte rendu des sessions plénières
• Rapport général de la Conférence
• Quelques images de la Conférence
• Brèves par sessions
  • 1. Réponses des pays de la sous-région face à la flambée des prix alimentaires mondiaux en 2007-08
  • 2.1. Résultats de recherche: Transmission de la hausse des prix alimentaires mondiaux sur les marchés Ouest Africains
  • 2.2. Résultats de recherche: La hausse des prix alimentaires mondiaux et l’évolution des bassins de production et de consommation en Afrique de l’Ouest
  • 3.1.1 Résultats de recherche: Les dynamiques de consommation alimentaires en Afrique de l’Ouest
  • 3.2. Résultats de recherche: Estimation des prix de parité à l’importation du riz en Afrique de l’Ouest
  • 4. La hausse des prix alimentaires mondiaux en 2007-08, répétition en 2011
  • 5. Principales leçons tirées de la hausse des prix 2007-2008 
• Présentations PowerPoint
  • Guide pour l'action à l'intention des pays confrontés à la flambée des prix des denrées alimentaires
• Hausse des Prix Alimentaires 2007/08: Principales Caractéristiques et Causes. Koffi Amebegto, FAO-Ghana.
• Intervention du Resimao, (Réseau des Systèmes d’Information de Marché de l’Afrique de l’Ouest).  Gestion de la Crise Alimentaire 2007/08. Moussa NIANG, OMA-Mali.
• Réponses des Organisations régionales face aux crises de 2007 et 2008. Cissé Moussa, PRA-Marché/CILSS/Burkina Faso.
• Transmission des prix, instabilité du marché et stratégies de commercialisation des producteurs. Roger Blein, Bureau-Issala/France, cf. Résultats FARM-CIRAD.
• La transmission de la hausse sur les marchés domestiques de la sous-région
  • Au Niger. Sani Laouali Ado, SIMA/Niger.
  • Au Sénégal. Ndiaye Mouhamadou, SIM/Sénégal.
  • Dans la sous-région. Boubacar Diallo, MSU/Mali.
• La reconfiguration des bassins de production et de consommation suite à la hausse des prix alimentaires mondiaux. Soulé Bio Goura, Lares-Bénin, cf. Résultats SRAI.
• Les Dynamiques de Consommation Alimentaire et la Hausse des Prix des Produits Agricoles en Afrique de L’ouest: Evolution des dépenses alimentaires dans la sous-région Ouest-Africaine. Momar Sylla, ANSD/Sénégal
• Analyse des inégalités d’accès à l’alimentation, de la diversité et de l’insécurité alimentaire dans la sous-région Ouest-Africaine. Songré Oumarou, INSD/Burkina Faso.
• Dynamique de la Consommation Alimentaire en Afrique de L’ouest au Cours de la Période 1990-2008. Maurice Taondyande, ReSAKSS/IITA/ Nigéria.
• L’approvisionnement des pays de la sous-région et l’estimation des prix de parité du riz importé . Boubacar Diallo, MSU/Mali.
• Nouveau pic des prix alimentaires mondiaux. Koffi Amebegto, FAO-Ghana.
• La globalisation agricole inversée : les politiques d’autosuffisance alimentaire sont-elles des réponses viables pour faire face aux crises alimentaires? Nango Dembélé, MSU/Mali
• ECOWAP/PDDAA comme réponse structurelle à la hausse des prix et offensive régionale pour la production alimentaire et la lutte contre la faim. Mbaye Yade, ReSAKSS/IITA/Nigeria.
• Leçons tirées de la crise 2007-08, Recommandations et perspectives. Roger Blein, Bureau-Issala/France, cf. Résultats FARM.
• Principales leçons tirées de la hausse des prix 2007-2008. Boubacar Diallo, MSU/Mali.
• A Partir des etudes Consommation

Presentations

• Managing Food Price Volatility: Approaches at the Global, National and Household Levels.   Global Food Policy and Food Security Symposium series. What does price instability have to do with food security? Price spikes hurt poor consumers, price collapses hurt farmers, and price risks reduce investment. Development scholar Peter Timmer articulates a vision for price stability that he argues would increase consistent access to nutrition for the world's poor. Michigan State professor of international development, Thom Jayne, presented his views, many contrary, afterward. 26 May 2011.
  
• Managing Food Price Volatility: Discussant Remarks on Peter Timmer Presentation.  T.S. Jayne. Presentation at Stanford University, Center for Food Security and the Environment. May 26, 2011.
• Do’s and Don’ts of Managing the New Food Price Environment in Countries with Food Insecure Populations.  David Tschirley, Nango Dembélé. Presented at “Special Seminar on Poverty Reduction and Food Security Despite High Food Price Volatility”, sponsored by USAID Bureau for Food Security. May 20, 2011. Washington, D.C.
• Food Price Spikes and Strategic Interactions between the Public and Private Sectors: Market Failures or Policy Failures? T.S. Jayne and David Tschirley. Presented at the expert meeting on “Institutions and Policies to Manage Global Market Risks and Price Spikes in Basic Food Commodities,” FAO Headquarters, Rome, Italy. 27-28 October 2009.
• Exploring the Logic Behind Southern Africa’s Food Crises. T.S. Jayne and David Tschirley. Presented at the Symposium on The Food and Financial Crisis and their Impacts on Achievement of the Millennium Development Goals in Africa. Institute for African Development. Cornell University. 2 May 2009
  
• The 2008/09 Food Pricing and Food Security Situation in Eastern and Southern Africa: Implications for Immediate and Longer-Run Responses. T. Jayne, A. Chapoto, I. Minde, and C. Donovan. Presentation at African Agricultural Markets Policy Workshop Sponsored by the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA). Nairobi, Kenya, December 11, 2008.
• Agricultural Globalization in Reverse: The Impact of the Food Crisis in West Africa. John M. Staatz, Niama Nango Dembélé, Valerie Kelly, and Ramziath Adjao. Geneva Trade & Development Forum—Crans-Montana, Switzerland. September 17-20, 2008. PowerPoint Presentation.
• Rising World Food Prices and their Implications for Food Security Policy in Eastern and Southern Africa. T. Jayne, A. Chapoto, and I. Minde. Presentation at Institute for African Development. Cornell University. August 28, 2008
• Potential Food Security Impacts of Rising Commodity Prices in the Sahel. Valerie Kelly, Nango Dembélé, John Staatz. 8 May 2008
• Using the Market During Food Crises: What has been Learned in Southern Africa over the Past Decade? David Tschirley and Thom Jayne. Presented at Vulnerability to and Early Warning for Food Emergencies: Conceptual Issues and Practical Implementation. FAO Global Information and Early Warning System (GIEWS) on Food and Agriculture. FAO, Rome. December 6-7, 2007.
• Managing the 2004/05 West African Food Crisis: Why Were the Outcomes So Different in Niger and Mali? John Staatz, Valerie Kelly. Presentation to USAID/EGAT, AFR, and DCHA, Washington, March 1, 2006
• Regional Trade, Growth and Emergency Response: Strategic Options for Dealing with Recurrent Food Crises in Southern Africa. Round Table Discussion at USAID facilitated by Michigan State University Food Security III Cooperative Agreement. Thursday, November 17, 2005.

Reports

• On Managing the New Food Price Environment in Countries with Food Insecure Populations. David Tschirley and Nango Dembelé. Policy Synthesis Number 90. October 2011.
• The Reality of the Price Rises: Food Price Dynamics in Mozambique and Policy Implications. Anabela Mabota, António Paulo, Argentina Balate, Cynthia Donovan, Danilo Abdula, Gilead Mlay and Olanda Bata. June. Flash #50. (Portuguese)
• The 2008/09 Food Price and Food Security Situation in Eastern and Southern Africa: Implications for Immediate and Longer Run Responses. T.S. Jayne, Antony Chapoto, Isaac Minde, Cynthia Donovan. International Development Working Paper #97. Michigan State University. November 7, 2008.
• Food Crises and Food Markets: Implications for Emergency Response in Southern Africa. David Tschirley and T.S. Jayne. MSU IDWP #94. 2008.
• Marketing Policy Options for Consumer Price Mitigation Actions In the 2008/09 Maize Marketing Season in Zambia. Antony Chapoto, Steven Haggblade, Julius Shawa, Thomas Jayne and Michael Weber.  FSRP Policy Synthesis Number 31, September 2008.
• Potential Food Security Impacts of Rising Commodity Prices in the Sahel. A special report for the Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) by Valerie Kelly, Nango Dembélé and John Staatz. 8 May 2008.
• Food Crises and Food Markets: Implications for Emergency Response in Southern Africa. David Tschirley and T.S. Jayne. MSU Policy Synthesis 82. July 2008.
• Food Crises and Food Markets: What has been Learned in Southern Africa over the Past Decade? David L. Tschirley and T.S. Jayne. Paper prepared for: "Vulnerability to and Early Warning for Food Emergencies: Conceptul Issues and Practical Implementation." A Workshop organized by the FAO Global Information and Early Warning System (GIEWS) on Food and Agriculture, Trade and Markets Division FAO Headquarters, Rome (Italy), 6-7 December 2007

Building longer-run food security while managing food crises

Presentations

• Do’s and Don’ts of Managing the New Food Price Environment in Countries with Food Insecure Populations.  David Tschirley, Nango Dembélé. Presented at “Special Seminar on Poverty Reduction and Food Security Despite High Food Price Volatility”, sponsored by USAID Bureau for Food Security. May 20, 2011. Washington, D.C.
• Sobre o Papel do Governo no Mercado de Alimentos Básicos: Panorama Baseado em Pesquisa Recente e Implicações para Moçambique. Emilio Tostão and David Tschirley.  Apresentado no Conselho Técnico do MINAG, Maputo, 24 de Junho, 2010.
• Input for USAID’s Food Security Framework. Steven Haggblade. Prepared for a USAID food security strategy consultation in Washington DC, August 5, 2008.
  
• CAADP Pillar 3. Underlying Principles for Increased Food Supply. Duncan Boughton and Steve Haggblade. AU-NEPAD Food Security Workshop. Pretoria May 19-23, 2008.
• Building Long-Term Food Security while Managing Food Crises: Insights from Mali. John Staatz. Michigan State University. Presentation to USAID/AFR. July 28, 2005.

Reports

• On Managing the New Food Price Environment in Countries with Food Insecure Populations. David Tschirley and Nango Dembelé. Policy Synthesis Number 90. October 2011.
• Can Cash Transfers Promote Food Security in the Context of Volatile Commodity Prices? A Review of Empirical Evidence. Benjamin Magen, Cynthia Donovan, and Valerie Kelly. MSU IDWP 96, Michigan State University. 2009.
• Local and Regional Food Aid Procurement: an Assessment of Experience in Africa and Elements of Good Donor Practice. David Tschirley and Anne Marie del Castillo. MSU Policy Synthesis 79. November 2006. (CDIE reference number PN-ADI-219)
• Building local capacity to address long-term food security while dealing with short-term crises. Look at the first few pages of the first and the last annual reports of the Mali PROMISAM project, which lay out the food security setting in Mali (both short- and long-term) and how the Malian government, with USAID help, was trying to address both in an integrated manner.

Fertilizer subsidies

Presentations

• Fertilizer Subsidies and Sustainable Agricultural Growth in Africa:  Current Issues and Empirical Evidence from Malawi, Zambia, and Kenya.  Isaac Minde, T.S. Jayne, Joshua Ariga, Jones Govereh, and Eric Crawford.  Presentation by Jones Govereh at the IFDC workshop on “Strengthening Trade in Agricultural Inputs in Africa: Issues and Options” Taj Pamodzi Hotel, Lusaka, 1-4 July, 2008.

Reports

• Promoting Fertilizer Use in Africa: Current Issues and Empirical Evidence from Malawi, Zambia, and Kenya. Isaac Minde, T.S. Jayne, Eric Crawford, Joshua Ariga, and Jones Govereh. ReSAKSS Working Paper No. 13. November 2008.
• Alternative Approaches for Promoting Fertilizer Use in Africa. Eric W. Crawford, T. S. Jayne, and Valerie A. Kelly. Agriculture and Rural Development Department Discussion Paper 22. World Bank, 2006. (See executive summary. Also includes extensive discussion of arguments for and against fertilizer subsidies.)

Contributions of regional food staples market development and trade to improving price stability and food security

Presentations

• How Can the Poorest Smallholder Farmers Benefit More From Staple Food Markets? Duncan Boughton, David Mather, Nango Dembele, T.S. Jayne and Abdoul Murekezi. Presentation to the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle. August 10-11, 2010
• Recent Work on Food Staple Markets and Regional Trade. David Tschirley. Presented at the "Eastern Africa Regional Meeting Global Food Security Response". USAID Mission, Nairobi, March 18 – 20, 2009
• Regional Food Staples Market Development. Steven Haggblade. IEHA Coordination Meeting. January 24, 2008. (Emphasizes two tools for containing food price increases: regional trade and substitution among food staples.)
• Smallholder Farmer Behavior and Agricultural Productivity in Eastern and Southern Africa: Implications for Regional Trade. T.S Jayne. Panel Discussion, IEHA Coordination Meeting, USAID/Africa Bureau. Washington DC. January 24, 2008.
• Price Unpredictability, Trade Policy, and the Demand for Food Staples in Eastern and Southern Africa: An Application of the ARCH Model. Antony Chapoto and T.S. Jayne. Workshop on Appropriate Trade Policies for Agricultural Development in a Globalizing World FAO, Rome. 10-11 December 2007.
• Regional Trade in Food Staples: Using Trade Policy to Improve Farmer Incentives and Food Security. Jones Govereh. Food Security Research Project, MACO/ACF/MSU. Presentation at the International Conference on Strengthening and Widening Markets and Overcoming Supply Side Constraints for African Agriculture. Organized by the International Food and Trade Policy Council and the Partnership to Cut Hunger and Poverty in Africa. June 3-5, 2007.
• A Comparison of Maize Price Stability between Countries Supporting and Restricting Regional Trade. Antony Chapoto and T.S. Jayne. 2nd African Grain Trade Summit Nairobi, Kenya, April 18-19, 2007.

Reports

• Myers, Robert and T.S. Jayne (2012). “Multiple-Regime Spatial Price Transmission with an Application to Maize Markets in Southern Africa”. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 94(1): 174–188.
• Potential Consequences of Intra-Regional Trade in Short-Term Food Security Crises in Southeastern Africa. Steven Haggblade, Hunter Nielson, Jones Govereh and Paul Dorosh. Report 2. A report prepared by Michigan State University for the World Bank under contract No. 7144132, Strengthening Food Security in Sub-Saharan Africa through Trade Liberalization and Regional Integration. June 28, 2008
• Alternative Instruments for Ensuring Food Security and Price Stability in Zambia. Paul A. Dorosh, Simon Dradri and Steven Haggblade. FSRP Working Paper No.29 Lusaka: Food Security Research Project. November 2007.
• Alternative Approaches for Moderating Food Insecurity and Price Volatility in Zambia. Paul A. Dorosh, Simon Dradri and Steven Haggblade. Policy Synthesis Number 24. November 2007.
• Improving the Performance of Output Markets to Exploit the Potential of Improved Seed. T.S. Jayne and Robert J. Myers. Chapter 6, pp. 95-134, in: Seed development programs in sub-Saharan Africa: A review of experiences, Nicholas Minot et al., Report prepared for the Rockefeller Foundation, 21 March 2007. (Ch. 6 includes discussion of market-based instruments for managing world price shocks.)
• Zambia’s 2005 Maize Import and Marketing Experiences: Lessons and Implications. Anthony Mwanaumo, T.S Jayne, Ballard Zulu, Julius Shawa, Green Mbozi, Steven Haggblade, and Misheck Nyembe. Number 11. December 2005.

Effects of maize export bans in Zambia

Reports

• Maize Price Projections for Zambia’s 2006/07 Marketing Season. Steven Haggblade. Policy Synthesis Number 15. June 2006.
• Maize Price Projections for the 2006/07 Marketing Season. Steve Haggblade. Zambian Farmer Magazine. June 2006.

Cassava value chains and role in food security

Presentations

• Zambia's Cassava Value Chain Task Force. Steven Haggblade. Presentation to the Swedish International Development Agency (SIDA) Regional Resource Centre for Rural Development (RRD) meeting on Linking small-scale producers and processors access to dynamic and restructured local, regional and international markets for high value products, Frandilla Lodge, Chisamba, Zambia, 15-17 May, 2007.
• Dynamics of Zambia's Cassava Markets. Steven Haggblade. Presentation to the Acceleration of Cassava Utilization Task Force Round One Stakeholders' Workshop, Agricultural Consultative Forum, Lusaka, Zambia, February 1, 2007.

Reports

• Commercial Dynamics in Zambia's Cassava Value Chain. Cassava Transformation in Southern Africa (CATISA) Startup Task 3. Report. Steven Haggblade and Misheck Nyembe. Report. Lusaka: Zambia. December 30, 2007.
• Zonal Mapping of Food Staple Zones in Zambia, Malawi and Mozambique. Cassava Transformation in Southern Africa (CATISA) Startup Task 1. Report. Steven Haggblade and Hunter Nielson. Lusaka, Zambia. December 24, 2007.
• A Value Chain Task Force Approach for Managing Private-Public Partnerships:  Zambia’s Task Force on Acceleration of Cassava Utilization. Maureen Chitundu, Klaus Droppelmann and Steven Haggblade. Working Paper No. 21. Food Security Research Project. Lusaka, Zambia. December 2006.

Agricultural Growth Linkages and the Rural Nonfarm Economy

Reports

• Agricultural Growth Linkages in Ethiopia: Estimates Using Fixed and Flexible Price Models. Xinshen Diao, Belay Fekadu, Steven Haggblade, Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse, Kassu Wamisho, and Bingxin Yu. IFPRI Discussion Paper No. 00695. International Food Policy Research Institute. March 2007.
• The Rural Nonfarm Economy: Prospects for Growth and Poverty Reduction. Steven Haggblade, Peter B.R. Hazell and Thomas Reardon. Forthcoming, World Development.
• Chapters from: Transforming the Rural Nonfarm Economy: Opportunities and Threats in the Developing World. Steven Haggblade, Peter Hazell, and Tom Reardon (Eds.). Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press. 2007.
  • Chapter 7. Sectoral Growth Linkages between Agriculture and the Rural Nonfarm Economy.
  • Chapter 11. The Policy and Institutional Environment Affecting the Rural Nonfarm Economy.
  • Chapter 12. An Overview of Programs for Promoting the Rural Nonfarm Economy.

Other key determinants of food security and agricultural growth

Presentations

• From Roller Coasters to Rocket Ships: Lessons from Past Successes in African Agriculture. Steven Haggblade. AGRA Policy Planning Workshop. Nairobi June 23-24, 2008
• Underappreciated Facts about African Agriculture: Implications for Poverty Reduction and Agricultural Growth Strategies. T.S Jayne. Seminar at African Studies Center, Michigan State University. September 13, 2007.

Reports

• Returns to Investment in Agriculture. Steven Haggblade. Policy Synthesis No. 19. Food Security Research Project. Lusaka, Zambia. January 2007.
• Development, Diffusion and Impact Evaluation of Conservation Farming in Zambia. Steven Haggblade and Gelson Tembo. Working Paper 8. Food Security Research Project. Lusaka, Zambia. January 2007.
• Smallholder Farming Under Increasingly Difficult Circumstances: Policy and Public Investment Priorities for Africa by T.S. Jayne, D. Mather, and E. Mghenyi. 2006. (CDIE reference PN-ADG-862)

Trends in agricultural production, marketing, and prices

Presentations

• Are staple foods becoming more expensive for urban consumers in eastern and southern Africa? N. Mason, T. Jayne, C. Donovan and A. Chapoto. Presentation at the Symposium on Food and Financial Crises and Their Impacts on the MDGs in Africa. Institute for African Development. Cornell University May 2, 2009
• Empirical Information on Smallholder Maize Production and Fertilizer Use In Zambia. Michael Weber.  Presentation at Fertilizer Support Programme Evaluation Kick-Off Workshop. Protea Safari Lodge, Zambia.  June 25-26, 2008
• Comments and Handouts to Inform Discussion of Rural and Urban Food Security Issues in Zambia.  By The ACF/ FSRP Research/Outreach Team, Presented by Michael Weber & Hyde Haantuba.  Presentation at a Meeting To Introduce the EU Food Facility For Rapid Response the Soaring Food Crisis- Chrismar Hotel, 6 May, 2009
  • Comments to Inform Discussion of Rural and Urban Food Security Issues. Powerpoint presentation.
  • Characteristics of Small and Medium-Scale Crop-Growing Households in Zambia:  Preliminary Comparison of Results from CSO/MACO/FSRP National-Level Supplemental Surveys in 2003/04 and 2007/08 Crop Marketing Seasons. Lungu, et al. (Draft for Review, 4 May, 2009). Handout 1.
  • Are Staple Foods Becoming More Expensive for Urban Consumers in Eastern and Southern Africa?  Trends in Food Prices, Marketing Margins, and Wage Rates in Kenya, Malawi, Mozambique and Zambia. Mason, et al. (Draft for Review, 24 April, 2009). Handout 2.

Reports

• Patterns of Maize Farming Behavior and Performance Among Small- and Medium-Scale Smallholders in Zambia.  A Review of Statistical Data From The CSO/MACO Crop Forecast Survey - 2000/2001 to 2007/2008 Production Seasons. By FSRP in cooperation with CSO and MACO to inform discussions on programs to deal with high food and input prices in 2008. Draft for comments, June 20, 2008.

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